2025 was a very easy year to predict.Let’s look back at what I said:There would be an election. There was. The Liberals were a confused shambles. Labor was returned in a landslide.Interest rates would fall. They did, three times.As a country, affordability would remain an issue. It did, and it is wo
These are the things I know…The great race starts at 3pm Melbourne time.It’s raining in Melbourne today, and the track is already rated a soft 7.More rain is expected — maybe just before, during, or after the race — so the track could be downgraded even further.There are quality horses from all over
Interest RatesWith the current Reserve Bank Cash Rate at 3.60%, a fair rate for an owner-occupied home loan is currently between 5.4% and 5.6%, depending on the level of equity you hold in your home.Typical bank deposit rates for savings are sitting at 3.80%, and the 2- and 5-year US Bond rate is cu
The Reserve Bank has lowered the cash rate by 0.25% to 3.85%.Banks are passing this on in full.What Should You Do?When rates rise, the banks increase your repayments – this has caused many people financial stress.When rates fall, however, banks typically leave your repayments unchanged. That means i
The Reserve Bank firmly backed itself into a corner of its own making yesterday, facing external pressure to cut rates.One commentator noted (and I agree) that yesterday’s decision effectively undid the completely unnecessary rate hike of November 2023, which raised the cash rate from 4.10% to 4.35%
2025 is a year that contains some absolute certainties, making it one of the easiest in recent times for planning.That said, even though most people crave certainty—even when it stares them in the face and yells loudly in their ear—many still seek that ever-elusive “one more” piece of information an
So .. You’d like to apply for a loan!Here are the steps to get started – and best of all – I am here as your personal guide to get you though.Once you get through the early stages real Alan will take over.First – you need to create a log in to get through to the Forms Page.Click the above link or th
What is the biggest home loan risk facing most Australians today? We can all accept that we will likely retire later than we once thought. Although maintaining purpose and income for longer is not all bad. Especially if you have taken the time now to invest in your own future retirement.30-year home
It’s Spring – The family has grown, you want to be closer to schools… Or … the kids have left, it’s time to downsize … It’s time to shift house.Spending your weekends going to open homes and after a while – it becomes so confusing…My brother recently asked for help… so here is the Ask Alan suggestio
I have asked you (my clients) many times if you want to know my opinion on why interest rates and house price are as they are.The clear answer is… NO ! What we do want from you – is what should we do…Let me go back a bit first.Every decade has had a defining moment:The 70’s – oil price inflation, hi
The Council of Social Services (ACOSS) always makes a submission to the budget. This year it notes that the top 10% of Australians have over $5.2 million in net wealth and that the gap between the top 10% and those below is somehow inherently wrong.It also notes that the top 10% have made their weal
A report from a government committee has suggested that Australian Banks be forced to issue “Tracker Mortgages” (Aust Financial Review 27 March 2024).Australian banks have unsurprisingly pushed back.A “tracker mortgage” supposedly “tracks” the Reserve Bank cash rate so that your home loan rate remai
I once wrote an article titled “A funny thing happened on the way to the cemetery”.When the pension was conceived, average life expectancy was 62. Retirement age was 65.The pension was predicated on the assumption that most would never receive it.Someone born in 1950 had a life expectancy of 62.But
How best to deal with the worry of inter- generational issues…?In my email last week, I posed the question of how best to prepare for your own future…One client asked how they could help their (young) children – not yet born – because of their concerns about what the housing market would look like f
I spent time with long term clients and even longer friends over the weekend.Here was one part of the conversation – and I’d like you to continue it, along any pathway you choose… more of that later.“How much do I need to live comfortably in later life?”Average weekly earnings have just hit $100kpaH
There are things that can be taken as almost certain this year – so let’s plan for them.On the money supply side:At some stage this year the Reserve Bank will start to reduce rates.When rates fall by 0.25% it is almost certain that banks will act with their usual pattern and cut by 0.25% for new cli
As 2023 comes to a close, I’d like to thank you all for continuing to trust in me to look after your loansand continuing to work for your best interests.A home loan is more than just more than just money, it is an opportunity to create a foundation forour future and our family’s futures. I am gratef
This time WHY matters.The 3-year bond rate in the US is 5.30%, the 10-year bond rate 4.65%.The 3-year bond rate in Aust is 4.35%, the 10-year bond rate is 4.75%.Banks BORROW to lend to you at the 3-year bond rate (among many other sources) – so money is COSTING the banks 4.35%They can also borrow (o
“The balance of risks now favour the prospect that the RBA is now on hold” – Bill Evans (The Australian Wed 2nd Aug 2023)I predicted quite some time ago that the “peak” of this interest rate cycle would be 6% (to you) and that you should plan around that – and that appears to be correct.What is the
Should it surprise us that 100% of economists on Monday became only 70% of economists by Wednesday?I will carefully analyse what the Reserve Bank board says as well as Bill Evans.I think it is possible that with this Reserve Bank board undergoing significant change by September that they wanted to f
It is with a reasonable degree of confidence that I can say that interest rates have peaked (Bill Evans: The Weekend Australian: Sat 29th Apr: page 30).At the start of this cycle, I suggested that you plan for a peak of 5.5% (and more recently 6% just to cover a worst case).Interest rates, to you, h
I am always open to opportunities with new lenders for my new to bank clients.Under BID (Best Interest Duty) my obligations are clear – and they are obligations on me personally.Banks have absolutely no obligations under BID.This means that in the main – our interests do not align.There is one place
With the Reserve Bank likely lifting rates later today – how best to plan ahead.I asked two clients recently if they were interested in hearing why rates are being lifted – and their answer could not have been clearer … “no – we read your emails because you tell us how to plan”The so-called experts
Covid came along and no government in the world quite knew how to respond… they planned for the worst.We were all locked up.While they developed a vaccine.Which meant businesses and people lives were about to be financially destroyed.Government:Created Job Keeper to give people income.While keeping
